Brothers at Odds

Gabriel Bonfim

I’m picking Bonfim to win this main event. I’ve never been very impressed with Belal Muhammad overall. His signature wins have only come against good fighters that were past their primes. Leon Edwards and Gilbert Burns. His best win might be a TKO victory over Sean Brady in 2022 but I don’t think Muhammad will have similar luck here. He’s also 37 years old so he’s not exactly at his physical peak anymore. On the other hand 28 year old Gabriel Bonfim is a versatile striker who really does a great job of using all of his weapons. Leg kicks, knees, boxing combinations will all give Belal trouble. Muhammad has decent boxing technique and pressure but Bonfim is just far more dangerous and capable of countering when attacked. Bonfim can get a bit overaggressive at times leaving himself vulnerable to takedowns but he’s solid off his back and can get back up when necessary. I’m picking Gabriel Bonfim to counter the pressure from Belal early and find a finishing blow so powerful that his opponent won’t even remember what happened.

Play of the Fight:
Bonfim by TKO @ +350

Belal Muhammad

Bonfim is fairly technical in the striking and grappling, and he has also shown increased finishing ability with a KO over Brown and a submission over Williams. However, Bully B is in the house, baby. I have historically been a Belal doubter… I missed every bit of the plus money on his many dominant wins on his way to gold. One major concern I have for Bonfim is his cardio, which has never been a concern for Belal. The way Bonfim gave up the final round – and again, round 3, not even round 4 or 5 – to a 42-year-old Stephen Thompson is a major concern because I promise you that Belal is not going to stop. Bonfim was also vastly lower in significant strike numbers by the end of round 2, where he was rocked badly as well. I think Belal still has a couple more strong performances in him before he truly starts to fade. He has been historically durable, hard to finish, and he has greatly improved those Canelo hands of his over time. JDM, who is a vastly more skilled boxer than Bonfim, was feeling Belal’s striking, and that was clearly shown by the damage on his face. I do think there is a real risk that Bonfim finds a submission, because he is dangerous and opportunistic in those spots, but how likely is it that he actually wins a decision here? I think there is very little chance of him having the cardio to match Belal’s pace in rounds 4 and 5. I also think Belal can easily steal a round with control grappling in the first three rounds, especially if he mixes things up and forces Bonfim to defend instead of letting him attack freely. I also struggle to see Belal losing three fights in a row – he is going to be starving for a win, and this feels like a spot where his experience, pressure, durability, and conditioning can separate him as the fight goes deeper. Bonfim will be the most dangerous in round 1 with his full power and explosiveness at hand, so Belal needs to set the pace from the opening bell. Do not let Bonfim get comfortable. Make him work, make him defend, drag him into deep waters, and smash him. And I will remember your name, Belal.

Play of the Fight:
Belal by Decision OR Bonfim by Submission @ -135

Plus Money Moneyline BANGER!
3 Pick Parlay with Fares Ziam, Iwo Baraniewski and Alessandro Costa to win @ +104

I really think all three of these guys are locks to win. Their opponents are just not very intimidating. Ziam is much more talented than Tom Nolan. Iwo should absolutely run through Tafa. And Costa should absolutely crush Schnell. I think these are all absolutely perfect stylistic matchups for all three. They’re all huge favorites for a reason. Put them all together and you get excellent odds at +104. If you want to pick them all to finish their opponents you can even juice those odds up to above +300. I recommend doing a little bit of both.

COMING SOON

F

Brendan Allen has been tested against the absolute elite of the division and is looking better than ever. After a couple of tough decision losses, Allen bounced back beautifully by taking a unanimous decision over Marvin Vettori. He followed that up with a massive short-notice victory in October 2025, forcing Reinier de Ridder to quit on his stool after four rounds of dominance from Allen. Allen displayed very impressive grappling against De Ridder who is a fantastic grappler himself. The pick here has to be Brendan Allen. Shahbazyan is incredibly dangerous early on, but Allen’s relentless grappling, heavy top pressure, and durability give him the edge. Expect Allen to weather the initial striking storm, ground Shahbazyan, and control the pace to secure the victory.

Play of the Fight:
Allen Moneyline @ -185

Comparing the strength of schedule between these two is like doing a milk taste test: one spoiled and one fresh. Shahbazyan is the spoiled product here. He has fought a bunch of lower-level opponents that have helped gift him a shot against a ranked contender like Brendan Allen, and I think this is a very rude awakening spot for him. Allen, on the flipside, is fighting down in competition after forcing RDR to crumble on the stool, and that kind of win shows the level he has been operating at. Allen is simply the more complete MMA fighter, especially in the grappling, where I think he holds a major advantage. The striking may slightly favor Shahbazyan early, and he does have some real pop if Allen gets careless, but the grappling threat makes everything more complicated for him. If Allen makes him fear the takedown, his striking will start to blossom like the most beautiful flowers because Shahbazyan will be second-guessing everything coming his way. Allen does not need to make this pretty; he just needs to make it uncomfortable. Pressure him, clinch him, drag him down, make him work, and show him that there are levels to this game. I think Shahbazyan may have a few flashy moments early, but over time Allen’s durability, experience, grappling, and overall MMA craft should take over. I will take Allen here, most likely by submission, and I think he reminds everyone why he belongs near the top of this division.

Play of the Fight:
Allen Moneyline @ -185

I think Fares Ziam is an absolute lock here! While Tom Nolan is a dangerous, explosive scrapper with immense power, he relies heavily on his forward pressure and often leaves his chin exposed. Ziam, on the other hand, is a sharp and methodical kickboxer. Ziam is one of the most well rounded fighters I’ve seen in recent history. He can finish the fight anywhere with a variety of strikes and submissions at his disposal. Coming off a dominant win over Nazim Sadykhov, the “Smile Killer” is riding a massive multi-fight winning streak and has faced a significantly higher tier of UFC competition. Furthermore, Ziam holds a critical 75-inch reach advantage, despite being the slightly shorter man, which will allow him to establish his jab and dictate the distance. If Nolan rushes in recklessly to force a brawl, expect Ziam to completely defuse the offense by sliding out of range, picking him apart with precise counter-strikes. Ziam also loves locking opponents up with his absolutely elite clinch skills before dragging them to the mat. I don’t see a path to victory for Nolan here. I think Ziam will be a force in the UFC for years to come.

Play of the Fight: Ziam by TKO or Submission @ +110

Both prospects have looked good as of late, and I do respect the improvements Tom Nolan has made. He looks more composed, more dangerous, and more capable of turning a fight in his favor than he did earlier in his UFC run. However, there are levels to this game, and Fares Ziam currently seems to be operating at a more advanced level than Nolan’s modern form. Ziam should be faster, cleaner, more powerful, and potentially even more dominant in the grappling exchanges. The way he was trying to kick the legs out from under a fighter he was literally holding up in the air was beautiful, and it showed the kind of control, creativity, and confidence he is fighting with right now. I think Nolan could find success as a gatekeeper with time, and I do not say that as an insult, because he has tools and he is clearly growing. I just think he is still too raw to beat a more developed talent like Ziam at this stage. Nolan can absolutely make this interesting, especially if he finds a scramble or locks up a submission, but the likelihood is not high enough for me because Ziam has been looking dominant in all aspects of MMA. He is the better athlete, the more polished striker, and the fighter I trust more to dictate where this fight takes place. Nolan may have moments, but Ziam should be the one setting the pace, landing the cleaner work, and eventually breaking him down. I am backing Ziam here, and I think he gets it done by finish.

Play of the Fight: Ziam by TKO or Submission @ +110

Bryce “Thug Nasty” Mitchell has long been known as a smothering grappler but his recent run has seen a mix of results including a tough second round submission loss to Jean Silva in April of 2025. That resulted in a highly successful drop to 135 pounds in July 2025, where he picked up a grueling unanimous decision win over the talented Said Nurmagomedov. His opponent here is the 21-year-old phenom Santiago Luna who is stepping in on short notice with a pristine 8-0 record and great momentum after dismantling Angel Pacheco via unanimous decision in February 2026 and scoring a stunning first-round knockout over Quang Le in late 2025. Luna has a Greco-Roman wrestling background but he really holds a massive advantage on the feet, particularly with his significant 74 inch reach, which allows him to land an absurdly high volume of strikes. While Luna is incredibly talented and dangerous, Mitchell’s rugged ground control and experience against top talent make him a difficult task for the young prospect. That being said, I’m just never going to pick Bryce Mitchell. I just don’t really like him. So I’ll be picking Luna to win here but reader be warned because this pick from me is pure bias. I’ll be rooting for a Luna knockout victory but a submission win from Mitchell is very possible as well.

Play of the Fight:
Luna Knockout or Mitchell Submission @ +145

I refuse to believe that Bryce Mitchell is going to have better success at 135 than he did at 145. I am incredibly suspect of his chin, overall durability, and how his body is going to respond to making this move down in weight. Thug Nasty is experienced, awkward, and dangerous if he gets to his grappling, so I do not want to act like Luna has zero danger in front of him. But Santiago Luna is a power puncher with an incredible Greco-Roman wrestling base, and that makes this matchup very interesting. As a 3-time national champion, I have faith that Luna will have real strength in the clinch, strong balance, and quality takedown defense when Bryce inevitably tries to drag this into his world. As long as Luna fights a smart fight, keeps his feet underneath him, does not overextend into lazy shots, and makes Bryce pay on the entries, I see him putting damage on Thug Nasty early and often. I even see the potential for a 1st-round KO here because Luna has the kind of power that can punish a questionable chin, especially if Bryce is depleted or uncomfortable at 135. I am not overly confident because Luna is stepping in on short notice and Bryce does have the experience edge, but sometimes the physical tools, power, and stylistic clash are enough to swing a fight. Regardless, I think Luna has this one in the bag and is a steal at plus money on the moneyline. Give me Luna by KO.

Play of the Fight:
Luna Knockout or Mitchell Submission @ +145

I’m picking Iwo Baraniewski to pick up another devastating knockout victory over Junior Tafa because his dynamic striking and rapid combinations are perfectly tailored to exploit Tafa’s defensive weaknesses. While Tafa does have a dangerous right hand he can become stagnant on the feet, offering a stationary target when forced onto his back foot. Baraniewski excels at establishing a suffocating forward pressure, utilizing aggressive combinations and violent blitzes that force his opponents against the fence. By overloading Tafa’s guard with a relentless barrage of heavy punches and explosive kicks, Baraniewski should overwhelm Tafa’s defense early on. I expect Baraniewski’s superior speed and aggressive pace to break through Tafa’s guard and deliver a clean knockout blow before the fight can reach the later rounds.

Play of the Fight:
Baraniewski by KO @ -200

Baraniewski should be able to maul Tafa anywhere this fight takes place. As a black belt in Judo, he has the perfect skill set to absolutely smash a grappling-deficient Tafa if he chooses to fight smart and lean into what makes him dangerous. I only have one real fear in this spot… how much has Baraniewski fallen in love with his hands? If he decides to stay standing the whole fight, it just might be Tafa time, because Tafa does have legitimate power in his shots and only needs one clean connection to change everything. However, even in a pure standing matchup, I still favor Baraniewski in 4 out of 5 fights. He looks like the more complete fighter, the more dangerous overall athlete, and the one with far more ways to win. That said, keeping it standing undeniably offers Tafa his clearest pathway to victory, and there is no reason to play with fire when you have a bucket of water sitting right next to you. Baraniewski needs to close distance, attack the clinch, hit those Judo entries, and make Tafa feel completely out of his depth on the mat. If he does that, I expect him to take Tafa down and absolutely smash him into oblivion. Tafa has the puncher’s chance, but Baraniewski has the skill set, physicality, and finishing upside to make this look violent. Baraniewski by finish.

Play of the Fight:
Baraniewski by Finish

Alessandro Costa is an easy pick here for one big reason. Matt Schnell is not very good. Schnell is 2-6 in his last 8 fights and is vulnerable to getting finished on the feet and on the mat. His most recent fight was a submission loss to Joseph Morales where he got dominated on the ground for a couple minutes before getting caught in a guillotine choke. He also suffered brutal knockout losses to Matheus Nicolau and Steve Erceg before that. Costa hasn’t faced the highest levels of competition but he’s shown well rounded skills and definitely has a killer instinct. He’s 3-3 since entering the UFC but his three wins have been very impressive TKO victories where his opponents crumbled under his pressure. I really think Costa is better than Schnell in every way. He’s stronger, more athletic, younger and more durable. I think Costa runs through Schnell with ease for another powerful TKO victory. 

Play of the Fight:
Costa by TKO @ -225

Schnell continues to look worse after repeatedly coming back from “retirements,” and that R word is a dangerous one in the world of MMA. It is usually a sign of impending doom for a fighter, and Schnell is starting to feel like a perfect case study for that. He clearly still has the fighting itch, which has caused him to come back again and again, but every time he returns, he looks more and more degraded. The durability, reactions, and ability to survive chaos just do not seem to be where they once were, and that is a terrifying problem against someone like Alessandro Costa. Even on ultra short notice, Costa should be able to demolish Schnell if he fights to his strengths and does not make this harder than it needs to be. Costa is younger, sharper, more dangerous at this stage, and he should have the finishing upside whether the fight stays on the feet or hits the mat. Schnell is always willing to fight and he has been in plenty of wars, but that is part of the problem now. Those wars add up, and I think Costa is catching him at the right time. I do not think this fight will be very close at all. Costa by finish.

Play of the Fight:
Costa by TKO @ -225

John Yannis is stepping in on short notice and while he is a durable scrapper his overall defense leaves a lot to be desired. He secured a dynamic knockout victory over dangerous grappler Jaime Siraj in his UFC debut but this will be a major leap in competition for. On the other hand McGhee is coming off a tough decision loss to the current champion Petr Yan who possesses some of the most dynamic and explosive hands in the 135 pound division. McGhee excels at establishing a solid pace, using crisp boxing combinations to back his opponents up. Because Yannis tends to absorb damage and lacks the high-level footwork needed to evade McGhee’s pressure, I expect McGhee to systematically pick him apart on the feet, trap him against the fence, and land clean strikes. I just really think the leap in competition will be too much for Yannis to handle and McGhee should be much improved after a close contest against the current champion.

Play of the Fight:
McGhee Moneyline @ -455

I am no McGhee hater, but I am also not a full McGhee believer. I really loved what I saw from Yannis in the Siraj fight, and I think the odds on him this week are straight up disrespectful. This could end up being a throwaway pick, but Yannis is my biggest underdog pick of the week, and I really do believe this fight will be a lot closer than the books seem to think. The boxing of Yannis is very nice, he has real power in his hands, and at the very least, that gives him a dangerous puncher’s chance in every second this fight stays standing. However, I truly think the psychology of this fight plays a massive role in the outcome. If McGhee comes into the cage entirely overlooking Yannis, then it could be disastrous for him. If McGhee comes in composed, focused, and ready to take Yannis’s head off, then I absolutely see him having a decent pathway to victory because he is explosive, dangerous, and not someone you can disrespect. But I think McGhee could be overlooking him — an entirely unranked opponent — after fighting and losing to current champion Yan. That is what I am banking on here. Psychology, disrespect, and then a brutal boxing combination from Yannis that shell shocks McGhee before he even realizes he is in a real fight. I know this is risky, and I know I could be horribly wrong, but this is the kind of underdog shot I am willing to take. Give me Yannis by KO.

Play of the Fight: Yannis Moneyline @ +380

I’m going to take a flyer on Edgar Chairez here. Silva is the slight favorite but I like what I see from Chairez in both his striking and grappling. He has a super aggressive submission game and will attack as soon as the fight hits the mat. He also has crisp striking with one shot knockout power. Bruno Silva is a talented and tough fighter and he can push a hard pace for 15 minutes. He’s 1-3 in his last 4 opportunities but he has faced levels of competition much higher than his opponent. I’m just not sure where he really has an advantage in this matchup. I think this should be a very close and competitive fight. It’s my pick for “Fight of the Night”. I don’t think you can go wrong picking either guy here but I’m going to take a chance on Chairez to catch Silva with a slick hook or choke before it’s all over. 

Play of the Fight:
Chairez by TKO or submission @ +240

Bruno “Bulldog” Silva vs. Edgar Chairez feels like it could give us the war of the card this Saturday. I am backing Bruno Silva here, but I do respect what Chairez brings, especially with his boxing. Going to a decision with Joshua Van is commendable, especially now that Van is a champion, so Chairez is not someone Silva can overlook or just walk through without resistance. That said, I keep coming back to Silva’s overall skill set, toughness, and mentality. I personally thought Silva won his last fight against Charles Johnson, and I think that decision loss could make him even hungrier in this spot. Even though he is aging at flyweight, he has not looked like he has completely fallen off a cliff. He still brings that dog-tough style, and if he can grind on Chairez, force uncomfortable exchanges, mix in the grappling, and extend the fight, I could absolutely see Chairez fading cardio-wise as the fight goes on. Pure boxing may favor Chairez, and I do think he can have sharp moments early if Silva gives him clean looks, but outside of that, I struggle to see where he is truly better. Silva feels like the more complete fighter with more ways to win, while Chairez has not really beaten anyone of major note and has mostly been used as tough opposition for guys like Van and Taira. This is not a mile-wide read, and Chairez can absolutely make it competitive, especially if he keeps the fight clean and boxing-heavy, but my gut says Silva’s pressure, toughness, experience, and all-around game should be enough to separate him over three rounds. Give me Bruno “Bulldog” Silva by decision.

Play of the Fight:
Silva Moneyline

Cachoeira is a slugger who wants to stand in the pocket and swing heavy leather. Chelsea Chandler, on the other hand, thrives on turning fights into ugly, grinding tie-ups against the fence and muscling opponents to the canvas. My pick here is Chelsea Chandler. While Cachoeira definitely holds the raw power advantage and can make anyone pay on the feet I’m just not a big believer in the rest of her skills. “Zombie Girl” has been vulnerable to submissions throughout her UFC career and isn’t exactly an elite striker either. Chandler holds a significant reach advantage and knows how to use her size to initiate the clinch. Expect Chandler to weather the early punching combinations from Cachoeira, tie her up against the wire, and execute ugly but effective takedowns to completely neutralize the Brazilian’s power and cruise to a unanimous decision win.

Play of the Fight:
Chandler moneyline @ -122

What a mess of a fight to call and break down. Both women have glaring weaknesses in their MMA games that can lead to a variety of possibilities here, which makes this feel like one of those fights where confidence should be kept very measured. I think the two most likely outcomes are either a Cachoeira KO or a Chandler decision, and it really comes down to who can force the fight into their preferred kind of chaos. Chandler has the grappling path, and if she is powerful in those clinch exchanges, gets on top, and controls position, she can absolutely make this ugly and bank minutes. That is clearly her cleanest route to the W. But I am going to back the power of Cachoeira here after seeing Chandler crumble to strikes in previous fights. Cachoeira is not the most technical fighter in the world, but she is mean, aggressive, and dangerous when she gets someone reacting badly to her pressure. If Chandler cannot get her respect early or consistently drag this fight to the mat, I think Cachoeira’s power and willingness to throw heavy could become a major problem. This is not a fight where I feel amazing about either side, because both women leave plenty of openings, but I trust Cachoeira’s ability to create a damaging moment more than I trust Chandler to safely control the full fight. Chandler has to grapple hard and fight smart if she wants the W, but I think Cachoeira eventually finds the shot that changes everything. Give me Cachoeira by KO.

Play of the Fight: Cachoeira by KO OR Chandler by Decision @

This matchup is a highly volatile clash of opposing styles. Jordan “The Monkey King” Leavitt is a submission specialist who is moving back down to featherweight, where he is undefeated. He doesn’t want to trade traditional kickboxing combinations. He wants to get close, pull guard, or look for creative sweeps to lock up a submission. Joanderson Brito, on the other hand, brings legitimate finishing power, continuous forward pressure, and heavy, concussive right hands and leg kicks. My pick here is Joanderson Brito. Leavitt’s path to victory requires navigating a highly dangerous opening round without getting clipped, but Brito isn’t just a wild slugger. He has incredibly solid takedown defense and heavy physical strength that makes him hard to hold down. I think Brito is just too strong for Leavitt to control for 3 rounds. I can really see Brito blasting through Leavitt’s guard for a brutal TKO victory.

Play of the Fight:
Brito by TKO or Decision @ -135

Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt is a fight where I am backing the damage potential, physicality, and overall well-rounded game of Brito. I truly believe Brito is the more dangerous and complete fighter here because he has multiple realistic paths to victory. He could knock Leavitt out, he could hurt him and snatch up a submission, or he could simply do enough damage and win enough moments to take a decision. I truly believe Leavitt looked better in his last fight against Del Valle than he really is. Del Valle was vastly too confident in that spot and seemed genuinely shell shocked by how easily he was being handled, but Brito is a completely different animal. He is not going to just let Leavitt get comfortable, build control, and make the fight weird without paying a price for it. While I do worry about the control we saw in the Sabatini fight, I think Sabatini is a better pure control artist than Leavitt, and that matters here. Leavitt can absolutely create awkward grappling exchanges and make this fight frustrating if Brito allows him to settle in, but I trust Brito’s explosiveness, power, submission danger, and ability to cause damage far more. Brito needs to stay composed, avoid giving up lazy positions, and make Leavitt feel the difference in physicality every time they exchange. If he does that, I think he reminds everyone that Leavitt is dangerous, but Brito is dangerous everywhere. Give me Joanderson Brito for the W.

Play of the Fight:
Brito Moneyline

Jeisla Chaves comes into the Octagon with a pristine 7-0 record and a well rounded skillset with an elite grappling base. Yuneisy Duben is a highly aggressive scrapper who relies heavily on pushing a massive forward pace and catching opponents early with heavy power shots. Duben is incredibly dangerous in the opening four minutes but her output drops significantly if she is forced onto her back foot. Look for Chaves to weather the initial explosive bursts and time a perfect level change against the fence. Chaves will use superior top control on the canvas to neutralize Duben’s power, ultimately grinding out a clear victory.

Play of the Fight:
Chaves Moneyline @ -340

Jeisla Chaves vs. Yuneisy Duben is a fight where I keep coming back to toughness, pressure, and how both women handle damage. Chaves’ last fight on DWCS against Montenegro was rough early, and I mean rough. Montenegro immediately dropped her, rocked her multiple times in the first two minutes, split her open, and had Chaves bleeding badly before she even had a chance to settle into the fight. That kind of start could have mentally broken a lot of fighters, but Chaves fought back like an absolute terminator. You cannot doubt her heart at all. By the end of the first round, Montenegro’s face was also split open, and the more Chaves got hit, the harder she seemed to fire back. That kind of toughness is dangerous against Duben because Chaves is not just a reckless headhunter. She mixes her shots well to the body and head, and that body work could matter a lot if she can survive the early danger and drag Duben into deeper waters. Duben is dangerous, explosive, and absolutely capable of making this ugly early, so Chaves cannot afford another slow start where she is eating clean bombs right away. But if Chaves can weather that first wave, push a pace, force extended exchanges, and make Duben fight through damage instead of just dishing it out, I think her toughness and pressure could make this fight a lot more competitive than people expect. This is a risky read because Duben has real finishing upside, but I like the dog in Chaves, I like the way she responds to adversity, and I think she has the kind of grit that can break someone if the fight starts getting uncomfortable. Give me Chaves to survive early danger and turn this into a war.

Play of the Fight:
Chaves Moneyline @ -340

Ketlen Souza is a striker that relies on moving on the outside using footwork and volume to pick opponents apart. Ariane Carneloss is a physical powerhouse. She wants to force a chaotic brawl and use heavy hooks to break her opponent down. Carnelossi is returning from a layoff and has historically struggled when she cannot find her rhythm or get inside her opponent’s reach. If Souza utilizes disciplined distance management and sharp counter-striking right out of the gate, she should comfortably out-point Carnelossi on the feet to secure a unanimous decision win.

Play of the Fight:
Souza moneyline @ -310

In the first fight, we saw Carnelossi maul Souza from the start with heavy striking. She landed cleaner on Souza, who was getting touched up at will, and that makes this rematch very interesting. Does Souza still get touched up like that at the UFC level? How has Carnelossi looked in terms of striking pressure at the UFC level? How much have both women improved since that first meeting? Those are the questions that make this fight tricky to read. I believe the psychology of having lost to someone can be powerful in a fight, and Souza will have to prove that the first matchup does not define this one. In that fight, Souza jabbed a lot, whereas Carnelossi landed a lot of heavy hooks, and that stylistic clash could show up again here. Souza does look improved, more dynamic, and more willing to throw creative offense, while Carnelossi still looks like more of the same in some ways: a brutish power puncher who wants to walk forward and hurt you. I would give the grappling advantage to Souza in terms of BJJ, but neither girl is really known as a heavy or highly proficient wrestler, so I am not expecting this to suddenly turn into a wrestling-heavy fight. This fight is so interesting because of the psychological element, the rematch factor, and the striking-heavy style both women are likely to bring. I think the power of Carnelossi is still dangerous, and her overall potential is somewhat unknown because of her inactivity. Souza will be throwing crazy spinning strikes with every available limb, so there is definitely a chance she lands something dynamic herself. She also has a great chance to win the volume game based on their speed in their modern form. But even with Souza’s improvements, the power of Carnelossi is speaking to me this week. I think she is hungry to prove that she still belongs, and if she can recreate even pieces of the pressure and damage from the first fight, she can remind Souza exactly why that first matchup went the way it did. Give me Carnelossi in a gritty, pressure-heavy fight.

Play of the Fight:
Carnelossi Moneyline