
Clicking each fight will take you further down the page to each Brother’s analysis!
Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos
Featherweight (145)
Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson
Women’s Strawweight (115)
Ion Cutelaba vs Oumar Sy
Light Heavyweight (205)
Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado
Featherweight (145)
Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick
Featherweight (145)
Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund
Heavyweight (265)
Charles Johnson vs Bruno Silva
Flyweight (125)
Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders
Middleweight (185)
Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai
Welterweight (170)
Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa
Lightweight (155)
Luan Lacerda vs Hecher Sosa
Bantamweight (135)
Bia Mesquita vs Montse Rendon
Women’s Bantamweight (135)
Elijah Smith vs SuYoung You
Bantamweight (135)
Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes
Women’s Strawweight (115)

Welcome to the our Brothers Battle Breakdown! Chris and Robert are Brothers At Odds in the fight between Amanda Lemos and Gillian Robertson during UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos. See our breakdowns for each fighter below, as well as our Brother Battle between both fighters on UFC 5!

Robertson has reeled off 4 wins in a row while Lemos is on a one fight skid after a loss to the experienced wrestler Tatiana Suarez. Lemos got taken down a couple times in that fight but defended well. She showed good cardio as well, ending the fight with an impressive flurry. She probably finishes Suarez if that fight was a 5 rounder. While Robertson comes in on a win streak her opposition in that time hasn’t been top tier. Everyone she beat was on a losing streak of their own and she did not exactly look elite against any of them. Robertson definitely has not shown the wrestling skills to control Lemos like Suarez did. Robertson definitely won’t be able to wrestle Lemos to death like Raul Rosas did to Rob Font last weekend. Whoever picked Rob Font to win that fight should not be trusted with anything going forward. Chiwiwis long time. Now Robertson might take Lemos down a time or two but Lemos’ grappling has improved so much over her career I think she can handle it. Even if the fight hits the mat Lemos did well grappling against the jiu-jitsu ace Mackenzie Dern when they fought in 2024 and won a decision. That gives me plenty of confidence to pick Lemos here. She will be able to defend Robertson’s grappling well enough to force a stand up fight. I don’t think Robertson stands a chance on the feet against Lemos. One big punch from Lemos will set the tone for this fight. Only question is whether Robertson will survive until the end.

I see this fight going one of two ways. Lemos keeping it on the feet and winning via striking based damage or Robertson blanketing Lemos on the ground with control. The striking gap in this fight is massive, so I strongly believe Robertson will have to sell out for the takedowns for as long as the fight lasts. If Robertson can get successful takedowns, then I believe she will dominate the fight based on control and ground based damage from her elbows. However, the main question I have is about Robertson’s takedown abilities to consistently get Lemos to the mat. Who has she beaten that should give someone a supreme level of confidence in her wrestling abilities? I have no doubt that she can win this fight dominantly if she can get multiple takedowns against Amanda Lemos. While Robertson sometimes uses the clinch and cage to get fights to the ground, her single and double leg wrestling abilities appear unathletic and ineffective against a high quality grappler like Lemos – so I do worry about that here. When watching Lemos’s tape, she certainly has been held down by high level wrestlers and grapplers – like Weili and Suarez. Although these takedowns are generally the result of athletic slams and takedowns – which are generally not the approach of Robertson. If Robertson gets it to the ground, she has been very good at utilizing ground and pound to do damage. As you can probably tell by this breakdown, I have come to lean towards Lemos as the week has progressed – but I still absolutely see a dominant pathway where Robertson can find success. It starts and ends with the takedowns! The fight that provides me the most hesitation in fully backing Robertson is Lemos’s fight against current champion, Mackenzie Dern. She stuffed all of Dern’s takedown attempts and outstruck her on the feet, which is a similar result I can see playing out in this fight if Robertson cannot get the takedown. At dog odds, I feel like Lemos is the logical and value pick on the moneyline – but be wary of the real possibility that Lemos is going to look 38 out there and get dominated (like Rob Font did last week).


Sousa to Win
by KO/TKO or Submission @ +110
I just don’t have a lot of faith in his opponent Bolaji Oki. While this is Sousa’s UFC debut he fights like a professional fighter unlike Oki who can be reckless and sloppy at times. I think there’s a very good chance for Sousa to finish this fight. He’s my favorite pick on the card.
Mesquita to Win
by Submission @ +100
This pick is too good to pass up. She is as good as it gets on the ground. Absolutely elite. I really don’t think her opponent stands a chance here. Look for Mesquita to snatch an arm or lock in choke early. I don’t think this fight sees a third round.

Delgado to Win
by KO/TKO or Submission @ -150
Delgado already has the game to be a fighter’s favorite fighter because he is as game as they come! I expect him to take Fili’s head off within round 1 or 2. He is undoubtedly my lock of the card.
Rahiki to Win
by KO or Submisson @ -105
Let me preface this pick by ensuring that the world knows how much faith Chris has in Harry Hardwick. I, on the other hand, have no faith in Mr. Harwick and believe that the talented striking of Rahiki will be his doom Saturday night. I think it is an absolute lock – although tread carefully with him being a UFC newcomer because nothing is guaranteed in this sport.



Amanda Lemos ML @ +180
I really think Amanda Lemos is just a bad matchup for Gillian Robertson. Even if the fight hits the mat Lemos showed nice grappling defense against the jiu-jitsu ace Mackenzie Dern when they fought in 2024. I would argue that Gillian Robertson is not quite at the level of Mackenzie Dern. If Lemos is able to keep this fight standing as I expect Robertson is going to be in trouble. Lemos has unreal power and that is exactly what is going to be the difference here.


Bruno Gustavo da Silva ML @ +140
I truly believe two things about this fight: Bruno Silva is an absolute DAWG who will always fight for you rmoney & Charles Johnson must have some serious ego issues by deciding to rush back into octogon for an additional concussion. Silva will not discriminate in terms of finishing the fight via strikes or submission. He is undoubtedly the DAWG of the week for UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos.
Robert’s Honorable DAWG Mentions:
Sam Hughes @ + 124
Ion Cutelaba @ + 225



Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos

Vallejos’ striking reminds me of Ilia Topuria a little bit. Both throw tight powerful strikes that can crumble an opponent in an instant. Vallejos also does a great job of working the body of his opponents which creates openings for landing bombs to the head. He has nice wrestling as well. Able to defend takedowns and land his own. Emmett is 41 years old and 1-4 last 5 fights. The only win in that time was an epic KO against Bryce Mitchell. However those 4 losses were to high level competition. The champion Topuria, top contenders Yair Rodriguez and Lerone Murphy and surging prospect Youssef Zalal.
I was tempted to pick Emmett at first based on experience but I’m actually going with the rising prospect Vellajos here instead. Even at 41 years old Emmett still has the cardio to go all 25 minutes but I’m not confident he can overcome the youth and speed of Vellajos. This is Vellajos’ first 5 rounder but his conditioning is solid. As I said before Vellajos’ style reminds me of Topuria and we all saw how Topuria dominated Emmett for 5 rounds. I think we see a similar performance from Vellajos here. Emmett still has the power in his hands to end the fight at any time but I really think Vellajos will be quick enough to avoid getting caught while landing significant strikes of his own. Expect to see a bloody Josh Emmett after 25 minutes and Vellajos’ hand get raised.
Play of the Fight:
Vallejos ML @ -550

Looking at the breadth of experience that Emmett has over Vallejos makes him a must pick for me. Vallejos is still relatively untested against quality UFC competition and I have major questions about his overall striking defense. Vallejos is not the bounciest or quickest fighter in terms of footwork, which makes me believe that he is very hittable. You do not want to be hittable against someone with the power of Josh Emmett (RIP Bryce Mitchell’s brain cells). Positives on the Vallejos side are his youth and offensive boxing skillset. He has lethal combinations and is not afraid to put it on people when he senses them fading. However, I do not see him getting a finish against Josh Emmett – who survived 5 full rounds with Ilia Topuria and Lerone Murphy. I strongly believe that Emmett’s heart and 5 round experience can make a massive difference in the fight here. One key fight that helped sway me towards Josh Emmett was the DWCS fight between Jean Silva and Kevin Vallejos. Jean Silva was landing at will on Vallejos, especially as the fight went into deeper waters. While Vallejos has improved since then, I still see the same flaws in his defensive footwork. Emmett will be coming for him for 25 straight minutes and I strongly believe he has the potential to dominate rounds 4 and 5 with his heart and experience. If he chooses to mix in wrestling against Vallejos, I am even more confident in his ability to take home a win. Especially with the odds being over +400 on Emmett’s moneyline, I cannot justify any real confidence in the unproven up and comer, Vallejos.
Play of the Fight:
Josh Emmett ML @ +410
Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson


Click here for this week’s Brothers Battle Breakdown between
Amanda Lemos and gillian Robertson
Ion Cutelaba vs Oumar Sy

Oumar Sy is coming into this fight after a nice TKO win against Brendson Ribeiro. In that matchup Sy was able to hurt Ribeiro with a stiff jab and used that to take his opponent down and pound him out for the win. Prior to that Sy lost an unimpressive decision to Alonzo Menifield where he was unable to really produce anything significant offensively. Cutelaba is coming off a tough fought decision loss to Modestas Bukauskas. Cutelaba showed good aggression in that fight and landed good shots but Bukauskas was just a little bit better. Prior to that Cutelaba had an exciting submission victory over Ibo Aslan. I’m actually going to pick Cutelaba here just based on aggression. I think he will be moving forward the whole fight and I don’t think Sy has the striking or wrestling skills to defeat him. Sy’s last win was a bit too easy in my opinion. He won’t have the same luck here.
Play of the Fight: Cutelaba ML @ +225

I could not be more underwhelmed by Oumar Sy. Yes, he is coming off a TKO win over Ribeiro but that is not all that impressive. The UFC knew what they were doing with that matchup and it was a virtual freebie for Sy. The fact that Menifield beat him in a snoozefest of a fight is majorly concerning against someone who will come forward with pressure like Ion Cutelaba. The level of competition and overall UFC experience is a massive factor in this fight as well. While Cutelaba has been in the UFC for quite some time now, he is actually near his athletic prime in his early 30s. I think he will be able to put the pace on Sy and control the flow of the fight. If Sy chooses to come out more aggressive and less timid, I will be genuinely impressed. But I have not seen that from him yet and he should not be a massive favorite at all.
Play of the Fight: Cutelaba ML @ +225
Andre Fili vs Jose Miguel Delgado

Fili is coming off a well rounded performance over Christian Rodriguez. He showed his competent skills on both the ground and the feet. He showed improvement from his previous submission loss to Costa where he pretty much gave himself up for a guillotine choke. Delgado is an up and coming contender trying to bounce back from a close decision loss to Nathaniel Wood. Delgado found early success against Wood, almost finishing his opponent with a nice combination in round 1 only to see his opponent return the favor shortly after. Wood was able to do enough in the remaining rounds to steal the decision. Delgado was on a 7 fight win streak with 7 finishes before that loss. I think Delgado returns to his winning ways here and proves he’s a force to be reckoned with at 145 pounds.
Play of the Fight:
Delgado by KO/TKO @ -120

I think this fight will be one way traffic. Delgado experienced his first loss to a very high quality fighter in Nathaniel Wood – who almost got knocked out by the pressure of Delgado in the first round. Delgado will be hungry for a win and will come back improved from his decision loss. Fili, on the other hand, appears incredibly mid when you watch his tape. He is an MMA generalist and is well-rounded everywhere. On the same page, he is exceptional nowhere. The power difference in this fight will be massive and I have a high level of confidence that Delgado will finish Fili inside the distance.
Play of the Fight:
Delgado Inside the Distance @ -200
Marwan Rahiki vs Harry Hardwick

Rahiki is an undefeated prospect fighting in the UFC for the first time. He’s coming off an impressive comeback win on Dana White’s contender series where his opponent dropped him twice and almost finished him with the choke. But Rahiki showed elite resilience and battled back for a 2nd round TKO after his opponent slowed down. His opponent Hardwick is trying to right the ship after a bad loss in his UFC debut against Kaue Fernandes. Fernandes punished Hardwick with brutal calf kicks early to get a round 1 TKO. Despite his last performance I’m going to pick Hardwick here. Although he only has 1 UFC appearance under his belt he’s a 10 year veteran of the sport and Rahiki is still very raw. Hardwick has shown well rounded skills in previous fight before the UFC and that should all be enough to get him a victory here.
Play of the Fight:
Hardwick ML @ +215

I have a very low level of confidence picking either side in this bout. Rahiki is an entirely unproven prospect who is making his UFC debut, whereas Hardwick is coming off a devastating leg kick KO loss to Fernandez in his UFC debut. Hardwick was literally taken out on a wheelchair early in the fight. Although the one thing going for Hardwick is that he has faced higher levels of competition during his run in Cage Warriors. He has a more well-rounded and experienced MMA skillset than Rahiki as well – which could lead to a grappling based gameplan – but Rahiki has tons of raw power and potential. He has never had a fight go to decision with his 7-0 record. Although Hardwick has never been finished via strikes prior to his leg kick KO loss in his UFC debut, so I am not confident that Rahiki will be able to finish Hardwick. Mixing in leg strikes would be a great idea to help immobilize Hardwick before blitzing him with strikes. I did not like the look of Hardwick in his UFC debut and I was not overly impressed by any facet of his game from his Cage Warriors tape, so I will take Rahiki’s potential here.
Play of the Fight:
Rahiki by KO or Submission @ -105
Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund

Petrino is 2-0 since moving up to heavyweight last year. He showed excellent jiu-jitsu in his submission win over Austen Lane and dangerous hands in his TKO win over Thomas Petersen. He has the potential to be a top contender in a weak heavyweight division. Asplund is a bigger and taller fighter with one UFC appearance. A relentless TKO victory over Sean Sharaf. He showed really good boxing in that fight using his jab throughout and finishing his opponent with clean combinations. I actually think this is a really tough fight to call but I’m going to pick Petrino just based on athleticism. Although I wouldn’t be surprised to see Asplund use his frame and reach to get the win.
Play of the Fight:
Does Not Go To Decision @ -225

Petrino’s heavyweight run thus far has looked much better than light heavyweight. I think he has found his home at heavyweight and will be able to utilize his BJJ skillset at a high level. I certainly think that is the case here in his fight against Asplund, who has proven to be absolutely bankrupt on the ground. My one worry with Petrino is his gas tank. If he blows his load early attempting to take down and submit Asplund unsuccessfully, then there is a risk of Asplund outpacing him as the fight progresses. But the skill gap on the ground should be massive and I will favor Petrino to win via submission or ground and pound.
Play of the Fight:
Petrino by Submission @ +225
Charles Johnson vs Bruno Silva

Johnson’s durability is a massive concern after an absolutely brutal TKO loss to Alex Perez just six weeks ago, a loss that followed a punishing decision against Ramazan Temirov where he was also badly wobbled. Silva brings the exact explosive power that has troubled Johnson lately, and if his heavy hooks don’t find a quick finish, his elite jiu-jitsu allows him to exploit Johnson’s defensive gaps on the mat. Silva is the perfect stylistic threat to capitalize on Johnson’s recent damage. I really think it’s a mistake for Johnson to fight again so quickly after getting fried by Perez. Have to pick Silva here.
Play of the Fight:
Silva by Finish @ + 275

Johnson should not be fighting so soon after getting pieced up to oblivion by Alex Perez in his last fight. It has not even been 2 months since that fight and there is no way that he has been able to fully recover in that time. You especially do not want to be rushing back into a fight against someone like Bruno Silva, who is an absolute dog with his power and grappling skillset. I think Silva will own this fight wherever it goes and I am not confident that Johnson will survive the full 15 minutes. Silva by KO or Submission is my pick.
Play of the Fight:
Silva ML @ +140
Brad Tavares vs Eryk Anders

Anders is a fighter that has always frustrated me. He looks so powerful but never seems to land powerful shots on his opponents. He always seems hesitant to commit to strikes. And recently his gas tank has been concerning. He somehow made a 2nd round TKO win look bad against Chris Weidman. Ya Boi struggled to throw ground strikes on an absolutely spent Weidman. Now Anders is trying to rebound from a bad knockout defeat last August against Christian Leroy Duncan. Tavares was on point in a fight against Meerschaert last year. His striking looked crisp and he defended takedowns well. He fought three solid rounds to earn a decision victory. Even in his last fight, a TKO loss to Robert Bryczek he showed great heart and battled until the 3rd despite getting cracked by Bryczek early on.
Tavares is the pick here. How can anyone watch that Weidman fight and pick Anders? Tavares isn’t a world beater but he’s a skilled striker and has 15 minutes of cardio. Those two attributes alone should be enough to get him past Anders. Tavares wins with a second round or third round knockout as Anders fades.
Play of the Fight:
Tavares by Decision or KO @ -110

Picking Tavares or Anders with a high level of confidence is absolutely silly in my eyes because it is a complete toss up of a fight. Both fighters have veteran UFC experience but have never been able to reach their full potential. Now the Uncs battle for the ultimate trophy of Unc-ness! Since my brother is so confident in Brad Tavares, I will happily fade him and choose YA BOI Anders to get it done. I think his best path to victory would be to utilize his grappling skillset to control Tavares and get in some ground n’ pound. I have a feeling this fight will go on the longer side and could potentially result in late finish – but it could also end as quickly as it starts with the chin on these two guys.
Play of the Fight:
Fight Ends Inside the Distance @ +140
Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai

think this fight is incredibly difficult to predict. It hinges on whether Chris Curtis’s elite takedown defense can withstand Orolbai’s relentless wrestling. Orolbai likely wins by using suffocating pressure to dictate the pace and force the action against the fence. I think he can exhaust the veteran Curtis and win the majority of the rounds through dominant control time and visual grappling volume. Orolbai has shown incredible heart in past fights and it will be very difficult for Curtis to put him away. That’s likely Curtis’ only chance of winning. However Curtis is incredibly difficult to control on the ground and I don’t think Orolbai will be able to finish him either. I really think this fight will go to a decision but the difference will be Orolbai pressure.
Play of the Fight:
Fight to go the Distance @ -135
OR
Orolbai by Decision @ +130

I have a very hard time backing Orolbai here with any level of confidence against a very hard hitting, skilled boxer in Chris Curtis who is recently coming down from fighting killers at middleweight. However, Orolbai is also recently coming up from fighting at lightweight in his first couple fights in the promotion. This fight is a massive question of whether the smaller man’s skill or larger man’s power is going to win out here. My gut instinct is favoring the former middleweight’s power, skill, elite takedown defense, and experience. Especially when considering what Mateusz Rębecki did to Orolbai in the striking in October of 2024. I am sure that Orolbai has improved since that beating but the damage he sustained there was not a good look whatsoever. Around the time that Rębecki was busting open Orolbai’s face, Curtis was going to a 5 round war with Brendan Alllen. After that, he had a robbery of a stoppage against Kopylov with 1 second left on the clock in a fight that he likely would have won via decision. The strength of schedule and striking skillset could present itself as a massive gap here. Orolbai’s best path to victory is to press the grappling and wrestling exchanges for the entire 15 minutes because while Curtis is known for elite takedown defense, he is getting older and small cracks have started to show. Although these cracks have been against stronger middleweights, so I will put my confidence in Chris Curtis to teach Orolbai a vet lesson.
Play of the Fight:
Curtis ML @ +275
OR
Fight to Start Round 3 @ -225
Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa

Manoel Sousa is making his UFC debut following a dominant performance on Dana White’s Contender Series. Sousa has powerful hands and high level grappling. He can finish fights on the feet or on the mat. On the other side, Bolaji Oki is a high activity pressure striker with a 2-2 record in the UFC. He has nice boxing and a willingness to take risks. However his grappling ability is questionable. He has shown susceptibility to being taken down and his defense once he hits the mat is not much better. I think Oki faces a significant challenge in Sousa’s well-roundedness and ability to end the fight both with heavy hands and a dangerous submission game. I think Sousa will get his first UFC win and a finish to go along with it.
Play of the Fight: Sousa by Finish @ +120

The matchup between Oki and Sousa is a tough one to call for me. A large part of me wants to have faith in the UFC experience of Oki because he truly does look like a world beater in Round 1. He comes forward with heavy, accurate pressure and puts it on people. While I absolutely forgive his losses to Chris Duncan and Mason Jones – two stellar UFC fighters and prospects – I do struggle to give him a pass for how he was dominantly controlled on the ground. I think he uses too much energy in that first round and becomes susceptible to ground control because his cardio does not hold up well. On the other side, we have Manoel Sousa making his UFC debut. Unlike some of these fighters making their UFC debut, Sousa has faced respectable competition on the regional scene (like UFC fighter Mauricio Ruffy and former Bellator champion Archie Colgan). He only has a singular loss to Colgan, who is someone who could likely steamroll fighters on the UFC roster. While I think Oki can make this dirty and has a puncher’s chance, the overall skillset of Sousa presents a massive threat to Oki. I think Oki will have a great round 1 – as he always does – but will start to fade as Sousa begins to take over the fight starting in the second round. I think Sousa will find the finish in the second round via ground domination.
Play of the Fight: Sousa by Finish @ +120
Luan Lacerda vs Hecher Sosa

Hecher Sosa is making his UFC debut as a heavy favorite. Sosa’s training alongside champions like Ilia Topuria has sharpened a high-volume boxing game that Lacerda might struggle to match on the feet. His wrestling should neutralize Lacerda’s grappling which is his primary path to victory. While Lacerda is a submission wizard, he lacks the explosive wrestling needed to force this fight into a ground battle against a disciplined opponent. Sosa will likely use his superior footwork to keep the distance and pepper Lacerda with heavy combinations throughout the three rounds. If Lacerda becomes desperate and shoots for a lazy takedown, Sosa has the sprawling ability to stay upright and punish him with ground-and-pound. Expect Sosa to dictate the pace and win a unanimous decision by avoiding takedowns and out striking his opponent.
Play of the Fight: Sosa ML @ – 245

This is another fight that is incredibly tough for me to call because Sosa has his UFC debut and Lacerda had a 2 year layoff in the UFC before coming back in 2025 to submit an absolute can of a fighter in Saimon Oliveira. In some ways, it is absolutely a striker vs grappler match-up – where Sosa will have superior striking and Lacerdo will have dominant BJJ. I think I will favor the UFC experience of Lacerda, as well as his grappling skillset, in this fight because I believe it is highly volatile with the striking skillset of Sosa. It is a dog or pass kind of situation for me! Lacerda by submission or decision is my call.
Play of the Fight:
Fight Ends Inside the Distance @ -175
Bia Mesquita vs Montse Rendon

Bia Mesquita is a jiu-jitsu legend. She is a multi time world champion and uses aggressive forward pressure to close range and initiate the clinch. Montserrat Rendon is a tall bantamweight who uses her long jab to manage distance. Rendon has a gritty, defensive style but lacks true knockout power. The technical gap on the mats should be enough to get Mesquita the win. Rendon might survive a round but this should be another submission victory for the Brazilian.
Play of the Fight:
Mesquita by Submission @ +100

Mesquita taking on Rendon is a grappler vs. grappler type of fight, but there are levels to this game. Mesquita should be levels above Rendon in terms of technical skill on the mat. Rendon is a slower, plodding striker who generally uses her size and physicality to get girls down to the mat. Mesquita, while raw in the striking, should have a clear speed advantage over Rendon. The speed advantage, combined with the master level BJJ coming from the side of Mesquita should lead to a one sided fight in favor of Mesquita.
Play of the Fight:
Mesquita by Submission @ +100
Elijah Smith vs SuYoung You

Elijah Smith holds both a height and reach advantage that should define this matchup. Standing three inches taller than SuYoung You, he can effectively strike from the outside. His six-inch reach advantage will make it very difficult for You to close the distance safely. You is a dangerous black belt but Smith is a high-level brown belt with impressive grappling of his own. He recently proved his defensive savvy by powering out of a deep triangle choke to secure a knockout. This combination of physical size and submission defense makes him a massive threat on the ground. He possesses the wrestling pedigree to dictate exactly where this fight takes place. You has not won a fight by submission in 4 years and I don’t think he’ll be able to tap Smith in this matchup either. Expect Smith to use his length and grappling defense to stay out of danger.
Play of the Fight:
Smith ML @ -265

Yoo-Jitsu has legendary amounts of aura in the cage. Why? Because his name is Yoo-Jitsu! Seriously though, I think You is a massively underrated fighter who gets underlooked because he is a Road to the UFC product. He is incredibly well-rounded and has a solid striking skillset, but his ground game is very good. Considering that we have seen his opponent Smith in some tough spots on the ground, I like the skillset of You in this fight. However, this is not an easy matchup for You because Smith is an athletic prospect with powerful striking and solid wrestling. He also has a reach advantage over You in this fight of 6 inches, which can make the striking exchanges interesting. Yoo-Jitsu is going to have to make this a dirty fight to come out on top and I absolutely believe You can do it. You can do it!
Play of the Fight:
You ML @ +215
Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes

This fight is a rematch from 2022 where Rodriguez won a very close decision. The difference in the first matchup was Rodriguez’s wrestling but Sam Hughes has transformed into a much more dangerous fighter since then. Hughes is on a three-fight winning streak and seems to be operating at a new level. Sampage recently showcased her evolved ground game with an impressive submission victory. While Hughes has expanded her skills, Piera Rodriguez relies on the same wrestling blueprint. Rodriguez still focuses on bullying opponents in the clinch to grind out decisions. However, Hughes now possesses the cardio and BJJ to neutralize that heavy pressure. Expect Hughes to outwork her opponent and secure the victory this time.
Play of the Fight:
Hughes by Dec @ +175

SAMPAGE gets her revenge! The first fight between Rodriguez and Hughes could not have been closer. Rodriguez did a great job of mixing in wrestling to use Sampage’s pressure against her. The striking of Rodriguez is also fairly powerful in the first round of her fights but she does consistently fade as her fights wear on. You know who never fades and is a cardio-queen? Sam Hughes. In their first fight, Sampage was starting to stuff the takedowns and put the pressure on Rodriguez in the 3rd round. She clearly won the third round, which I think is a near guarantee in this fight as well. Their first fight was nearly 4 years ago and you can see massive evolution in the confidence, pressure, and style of Sam Hughes since that time. While Rodriguez has improved, I strongly believe that Hughes has improved so much more in those 4 years. Considering their first fight was so close, I truly believe Sampage will make the necessary improvements to take the W home this week.
Play of the Fight:
Hughes ML @ +124
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